Mr Fyfe this afternoon also revealed plans for a global competition labelled “The Great Walker” which will launch in two months

«TRON в зоне RUбля»

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Mathematical review of technological singularity models

Abstract This paper reviews different definitions and models of technological singularity. The models range from conceptual sketches to detailed endogenous growth models, as well as attempts to fit empirical data to quantitative models. Such models are useful for examining the dynamics of the world-system and possible types of future crisis points where fundamental transitions are likely to occur. Current models suggest that, generically, even small increasing returns tend to produce radical growth. If mental capital becomes copyable (such as would be the case for AI or brain emulation), extremely rapid growth would also become likely.
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TRON: Technology for Accurate Prediction of Earthquake Magnitude, Location, and Tim

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This technology was developed by me immediately after the Japanese earthquake on March 11, 2011 . The online technology for accurately predicting the magnitude, location, and time of earthquakes, «TRON» (Technology Real-time Online Nucleus), is based on the ability of domestic, farm, and wild animals to sense earthquakes in advance. By collecting information over the Internet about changes in the behavior of these animals, and then using the "greedy algorithms" of Keilis-Borok, it is possible to predict a future earthquake with an accuracy of up to 1 day, the epicenter with an accuracy of up to 10 km, and the strength of the shock with an accuracy of up to 1 magnitude. Initially, I assumed that its testing would take a year, after which I could work on the next problem . Unfortunately, this assumption did not take into account the fact that seismologists are absolutely not interested in implementing this ...
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TRON Pilot Experiment at Gemma 4 Kaggle Hackathon 2026

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Gemma 4 Kaggle Hackathon 2026 took place from April 3 to May 19, 2026. The goal was to create solutions based on Gemma 4 multimodal models to address real-world global challenges.  TRON startup participated in the Global Resilience direction - building systems for disaster prediction and response. 1,610 teams participated out of 14,523 registered participants.  TRON technology author, Boris D. Yarovoy competed as a solo team of one person, writing all the software code for the pilot experiment independently. Hypothesis Multimodal neural networks, such as Gemma 4 from Google DeepMind, can detect changes in animal behavior by analyzing video recordings. This enables the transition from manual animal observation by humans to a fully automated system. Why Gemma 4 The multimodal Gemma 4 model is capable of working with video in zero-shot mode (without fine-tuning). This allows overcoming the limitatio...
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Earthquake forecast: Crimea, California, Hokkaido, Taiwan, NZ

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 Size of economic damage from earthquakes 100.000.000 dollars EVERY DAY A catastrophic earthquake with a magnitude of more than 8 points occurs once a year. Destructive earthquakes: force 7 - 8 points - 17 times a year. The annual number of victims of earthquakes XX century - 33,000 people. TANGSHAN 1976. China. Magnitude 7.8. 242 thousand people died. SPITAK 1988. Armenia. Magnitude 7.2. 25 thousand people died. NEFTEGORSK 1995. Russia Magnitude 7.6. 2040 people died. XXI century - 45,000 people. PORT-AU-PRINCE 2010 Haiti. Magnitude 7. 223 thousand people died. SENDAI 2011 Japan. Magnitude 9. 18 thousand people died. TODAY'S EARTHQUAKE FORECAST LOOKS LIKE THIS There is a 70 percent chance for a magnitude 7 earthquake in the Tokyo area within the next 30 years. Professor Hiroyuki Fujiwara. National Research Institute of Geosciences and Disaster Prevention of Japan. Deterministic predictions of individual earthquakes with sufficient accuracy to allow evacuation programs to be pl...
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Global earthquake detection and warning using Android phones

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Editor’s summary Earthquake early warning systems depend on real-time analysis of waves detected at nearby seismic stations or by smartphone accelerometers. The latter approach, although less sensitive, is a promising way to offer alerts in areas without seismic stations. In a major step forward, Allen  et al . describe the outcomes of an alert system rolled out to Android phones in 98 countries, which increased total warning system access 10-fold to 2.5 billion people over 3 years. Issuing more than 1200 alerts over that period, the system recorded low-magnitude errors and provided preshake warnings consistent with other detection systems but on a much larger scale. —Angela Hessler Abstract Earthquake early-warning systems are increasingly being deployed as a strategy to reduce losses in earthquakes, but the regional seismic networks they require do not exist in many earthquake-prone countries. We use the global Android smartphone network to develop an earthquake detection capabil...
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«Животные нас спасают от землетрясений» - публикация на портале менеджеров

Животные нас спасают от землетрясений 09.05.2025 Сейсмическая чувствительность у различных животных разная. Среди собак наиболее чувствительны породы карликовых пуделей и айну, а среди больших зверей пальму первенства делят бурый и белый медведь. Как вы оцениваете данный проект? Идея не перспективна (33,33%) Мне нравится идея, но я не готов вложить деньги (23,81%) Идея требует некоторой доработки (19,05%) Мне нравится идея, я готов вложить деньги (14,29%) Идея требует полной переработки (9,52%) В Чили, перед землетрясением 1835 года в городе Талькуано, все бродячие собаки ушли из города и спаслись. При взрыве вулкана Мон-Пеле на острове Мартиника в 1902 году погибло 30000 человек, жителей города Сен-Пьер, и лишь несколько собак и кошек, привязанных своими хозяевами. В Китае, 4 февраля 1975 года в провинции Ляонин произошло мощное землетрясения, в результате которого было разрушено 90% домов. Однако перед этим, местное на...
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精确预测暂做不到 观测动物“异常”也非预测手段 - 中国地震局回应监测预报质疑

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去年の3月11日なにしてた VICTIMS MAY BE LESS   人民网北京6月6日电 （王洋 黄玉琦）6月2日，台湾南投县发生6.7级地震，福建广东江西普遍有感。这次地震再次引发网友对地震预报问题的关注。“ 政在回应 ”栏目记者就此联系了中国地震局，对“地震监测预报”工作给予详解。     此前，芦山发生“4.20”强烈地震曾引发网友关于地震“预警”的讨论；5月中旬，“南昌防震减灾局养狗预测地震”和“合肥市地震局在市野生动物园建观测站，请动物做预报员”等报道更引发网友对地震监测预报的质疑与提问：地震真的是一种“只能预警不能预报”的自然灾害吗？“使用动物预测地震”已经成为我国地震工作部门预测地震方法了吗？     带着这些质疑与提问，“ 政在回应 ”栏目记者联系了中国地震局，书面采访了中国地震台网中心地震预报部副主任蒋海昆，中国地震局工程力学研究所副所长、研究员李山有，中国地震局工程力学研究所强震动观测研究室副主任、副研究员马强。他们分别根据自己所负责的工作，在本人专业研究范围内对网友的质疑与提问进行了回应。     问：中国地震局及各地方地震工作部门的工作人员日常都在做哪些“地震监测预报”工作？     答：在地震监测方面，多在做地震活动及地震前兆的监测；在地震预报方面，有严格的周、月、半年、年度及临时会商制度，依据各类观测资料对未来不同时间尺度、不同区域的地震危险性进行分析。     中国地震台网中心地震预报部副主任蒋海昆表示，从国家地震局到省、市、县级地方地震工作部门在“地震监测预报”方面的日常工作可分为两大部分。     第一部分为地震监测。中国地震局相关直属单位及各省地震局下属地震台站，大部分力量用于地震活动及地震前兆的监测。全国有众多的地震台站用于地震活动的实时监测，其中仅观测数据实时汇总到中国地震台网中心的国家基本测震台网就包括1000多个地震台，每天数据量约30GB。地震前兆监测又分为定点观测及流动观测两部分，定点观测在学科上主要包括地壳形变、重力、地震电磁、地下流体、水化学等观测量，这些数据也是24小时连续观测，采样频率大部分为分钟采样，部分达到秒采样，其中汇总到中国地震台网中心的约有720多个台、2350多套仪器的...
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准确的地震预报技术：“实现目标的速度并不重要，重要的是不要停止”——孔子。

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1974年，偉大舵手毛澤東同志說：«地震不應該由科學家來預測，而應該由人來預測» 海城市县委第一书记升职：任辽宁省第二书记。 他提到了他未来在党内同事的密切圈子中的任命。 早上，中央给他发了一封电报，随后他不得不紧急召开县局临时扩大会议。 - 同志们，我召集你们是为了一个重要的信息。大家知道，在中共中央十届一中全会上，大领航员大领航员同志说，地震不是靠科学家，而是靠人民。为此，我国设立了专门的中心，党的积极分子通过邮件或电话报告各种不寻常的现象。今天从北京发来一个电报，据报道，现在去的最多的就是我县了。党中央要求调查并采取适当措施。情况紧急，我们有两天时间。 大厅里传来一声惊恐的低语。大多数人认为他们被召集在一起正式宣布晋升第一。一些准备好的贺词和礼物，但就是这样！中央要求解决……但是怎么处理呢？有地震吗？全世界数以千计的机构、数以万计的科学家无法与他们打交道，无法了解那里有什么以及如何做，但他们必须在两天内做出决定。 ——而这些“异常现象”究竟表现在什么地方？最年轻、最热心的三秘书问道。 - 报警是由井中地下水位变化的报告引起的。还有许多关于动物异常行为的报道。老鼠和蛇爬到路上，冻在那里。牛和马看起来焦躁不安。鸡拒绝进入他们的鸡舍，鹅就逃跑了。 我能说什么？那么，只需要撤离百万分之一的城市吗？好吧，好吧，如果发生地震 - 如果没有呢？那么对于这种民间资金的挥霍，他们不会拍脑袋。在这里，您不仅可以忘记促销活动，而且一切都可能以更糟的方式结束。但必须做出决定。或者不接受——这也将是一个决定。两天过去了，除了第一人之外，所有人都说话了。每个人都明白，现在一切都取决于他，没有人愿意代替他。最后，在 2 月 3 日晚上，First 发言。 - 所以，据我了解，我们有四个选择。 首先， 我们没有发布疏散命令，并且发生了地震。人们正在死去，我们都要上法庭。谁投票反对撤离——因为他们投票是这样的。那些投票支持撤离的人——因为他们没有坚持自己的意见。我希望在场的每个人都明白，这对我们来说是最糟糕的选择。在学校，我们会因为这样的决定而获得 1 分。 第二种选择 ：我们下令撤离，地震没有发生。就是因为我们的短视决定，省、县正在损失大量的民间资金，而今天我们国家非常需要这些资金。任何老师都会为这样的决定给我们一个平分。 第三种选择： 我们不发布疏散令，地震也不会发生。我们节省了人们的钱。...
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Rules of action BEFORE an earthquake strikes

List of seismically hazardous areas where destructive (7 points and higher) earthquakes are possible.  Azerbaijan, Albania, Algeria, Argentina, Armenia, Afghanistan, Bangladesh, Bolivia, Brunei, Guatemala, Greece, Georgia, Dominica, Dominican Republic, Israel, India, Indonesia, Jordan, Iraq, Iran, Italy, Yemen, Kazakhstan, Cyprus, Kyrgyzstan, China, Colombia, Costa Rica, Cuba, Lebanon, Malaysia, Malta, Morocco, Mexico, Myanmar, Nepal, Nicaragua, New Zealand, Oman, Pakistan, Palestine, Papua New Guinea, Peru, Portugal, Romania, Russia (Caucasus, Kamchatka, Kuril Islands, Altai, Sakhalin), El Salvador, North Macedonia, Serbia, Syria, Tajikistan, Taiwan, Tunisia, Turkey, Turkmenistan, Uzbekistan, Fiji, Philippines, Chile, Montenegro, Ecuador, Eritrea, Jamaica, Japan. If you, your family or loved ones live in one of these earthquake-prone regions, prepare for possible disaster in advance: secure cabinets, shelves, TVs and heavy objects remove heavy objects from the top shelves secure c...
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Результат отбора в технологии TRON в Преакселератор "Сколково"

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lmarker   Приветствую!   Благодарим Вас за интерес к открытому преакселератору Технопарка «Сколково». Мы рассмотрели Вашу заявку, но вынуждены вам отказать в участии на этот раз, но вы можете доработать идею и презентацию проекта и присоединиться к нам позже. В качестве комплимента - дарим 7 дней в коворкинге 2.0 Технопарка «Сколково». Доступ по промокоду - Preax24W на сайте коворкинга .   У вас есть возможность посещать открытые мероприятия Преакселератора. Чтобы следить за анонсами присоединяйтесь к каналу преакселератора .   С уважением, Команда открытого преакслератора Технопарка «Сколково».    Остались вопросы? Вы всегда можете написать мне в телеграмм @kseni_borisenko – Ксения Борисенко   комьюнити менеджер Технопарка «Сколково» и ваш проводник в мир Преакселератора
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