TRON: Technology for Accurate Prediction of Earthquake Magnitude, Location, and Tim
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This technology was developed by me immediately after the Japanese earthquake on March 11, 2011. The online technology for accurately predicting the magnitude, location, and time of earthquakes, «TRON» (Technology Real-time Online Nucleus), is based on the ability of domestic, farm, and wild animals to sense earthquakes in advance. By collecting information over the Internet about changes in the behavior of these animals, and then using the "greedy algorithms" of Keilis-Borok, it is possible to predict a future earthquake with an accuracy of up to 1 day, the epicenter with an accuracy of up to 10 km, and the strength of the shock with an accuracy of up to 1 magnitude. Initially, I assumed that its testing would take a year, after which I could work on the next problem. Unfortunately, this assumption did not take into account the fact that seismologists are absolutely not interested in implementing this technology, but rather the opposite. Therefore, today «TRON» is still in the pre-seed stage. |
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Economic damage from earthquakes $100,000,000 EVERY DAY
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Annual number of earthquake fatalities 20th century — 33,000 people.
21st century — 45,000 people.
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«There is a 70 percent chance of a magnitude-7 earthquake in the Tokyo area within the next 30 years.» Professor Hiroyuki Fujiwara. National Research Institute for Earth Science and Disaster Prevention, Japan. |
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Short-term earthquake prediction, accurate to the day, of the magnitude, location, and time can reduce the number of casualties by 90% and reduce economic damage by 25% by reducing infrastructure accidents in transport and industry. However, many Western scientists believe that such prediction is impossible even in theory. |
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«Deterministic predictions of individual earthquakes with sufficient accuracy to plan evacuation programs are impossible in principle.» United States Geological Survey (USGS) |
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But there are facts that contradict this concept. First, this is the earthquake that occurred on February 4, 1975, in the city of Haicheng, Liaoning Province, China. Paying attention to numerous citizen reports about unusual animal behavior, the authorities decided to evacuate the population, which began on the morning of February 4. In the evening, at 19:36, an earthquake with a magnitude of 7.5 occurred, destroying 90% of buildings. It was not possible to completely avoid casualties — 2,041 people died — but if there had been no evacuation, experts estimate that the number of victims would have been close to 150,000. Second, this is a summary table analyzing animals' ability to predict earthquakes. This table was compiled in the USSR as part of work on creating tectonic weapons (1988, project "Mercury 18"). Despite the ambiguous assessment of the USSR's role in the world civilizational order, even today, more than 30 years after the collapse of this country, there are few people in the world who could doubt the quality of Soviet scientific developments, one way or another related to weapons. |
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| Summary table of animals' ability to predict earthquakes (Project "Mercury 18", USSR) |
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Third, this is patent WO/2008/053463, issued in Israel for an earthquake prediction technology that is also based on the ability of animals to predict earthquakes. |
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