Прогнозируемый ущерб от землетрясения в Нанкайском желобе составит 13 триллионов долларов

 По прогнозам строительной отрасли, в среду было заявлено, что мощное землетрясение, которое, как ожидается, произойдет в Нанкайском прогибе в течение следующих 30 лет, может нанести экономический ущерб в размере 1,466 триллиона иен за период более 20 лет.

Последняя оценка Японского общества инженеров-строителей основана на анализе мегаземлетрясения и последующего цунами вдоль Нанкайского желоба, который тянется на юго-запад от тихоокеанского побережья центральной Японии. Эта цифра на 4 процента больше оценки 2018 года в 1,410 триллионов иен.

В марте правительство Японии подсчитало, что экономический ущерб от землетрясения в Нанкае и вызванного им цунами только за первый год может составить до 292 триллионов иен.

Ассоциация заявила, что на восстановление экономики уйдет около 22 лет, исходя из опыта землетрясения и цунами, опустошивших северо-восток Японии в 2011 году.

В своем последнем отчете группа заявила, что принятие контрмер, таких как укрепление дорог и дамб, стоимостью более 58 триллионов иен, позволит сократить экономический ущерб на 31 процент.

Ассоциация также прогнозирует, что мегаземлетрясение, произошедшее непосредственно под Токио, нанесет экономический ущерб в размере 1,110 трлн иен, что больше, чем 1,001 трлн иен, озвученных в ее промежуточном отчете в марте прошлого года, с учетом роста стоимости жизни.

По данным ассоциации, аналогичные меры стоимостью более 21 триллиона иен позволят сократить ущерб от землетрясения в Токио на 38 процентов.

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