Global Platform for Disaster Risk Reduction for Jan Kenneth Glenn Eliasson

Global Platform for Disaster Risk Reduction
for Jan Kenneth Glenn Eliasson

I read it
Please take a look and read it. 

I would be grateful for any critical remark concerning the further improvement
of technologies to accurately predict the time, place and intensity of earthquakes.

«TRON в зоне RUбля»

Comments

Post a Comment

SpasiBo

Popular posts from this blog

Global earthquake detection and warning using Android phones

Image
Editor’s summary Earthquake early warning systems depend on real-time analysis of waves detected at nearby seismic stations or by smartphone accelerometers. The latter approach, although less sensitive, is a promising way to offer alerts in areas without seismic stations. In a major step forward, Allen  et al . describe the outcomes of an alert system rolled out to Android phones in 98 countries, which increased total warning system access 10-fold to 2.5 billion people over 3 years. Issuing more than 1200 alerts over that period, the system recorded low-magnitude errors and provided preshake warnings consistent with other detection systems but on a much larger scale. —Angela Hessler Abstract Earthquake early-warning systems are increasingly being deployed as a strategy to reduce losses in earthquakes, but the regional seismic networks they require do not exist in many earthquake-prone countries. We use the global Android smartphone network to develop an earthquake detection capabil...
👉read more

ChatGPT's audit of a proposal to sponsors for a world-class project with €200,000

Image
User  Investigate according to the superradar scheme: https://www.tron.ru/2026/09/invest-ai-project-global.html AI Superradar Verdict The idea in the article is a distributed network for observing animal behavior + AI, which is supposed to find pre-seismic anomalies hours or days before an earthquake. The pain is huge, the potential economic effect is colossal, and modern cameras, microphones, and computer vision models have indeed drastically reduced the cost of testing the hypothesis. But as an investment project in the formulation of the article, I would not invest €200k right now in exchange for a stake. The reason is not that the idea is inherently impossible. The reason is that the article makes a leap from "there are separate interesting observations" to "a solution exists," and this specific transition has not yet been scientifically proven. Moreover, some of the evidence in the article is presented incorrectly. (tron.ru) At the same time, a much str...
👉read more

Imagine a system that successfully predicts 80% of earthquakes, but without the subsequent earthquake.

Image
 - Did you imagine it? Because I couldn't - how is that even possible? If the prediction is successful, it means an earthquake happened. If there was no earthquake, then it's not a successful prediction. But here, everything is mixed into one. The AI ChatGPT Astra in its detailed audit of my initial post €200,000 Needed to Test a World-Class Scientific Hypothesis suggested this game of hallucinations to me. ChatGPT confuses two completely different statistical metrics: recall (the system's ability to detect 8 out of 10 disasters) and precision (how many times the system will raise a false alarm). A system can find almost all earthquakes, while simultaneously crying wolf for no reason every two weeks. In another situation, I might not have engaged with an AI of this level, but since people are barely interested in the topic of accurate earthquake prediction, I will continue to debate with what is available for now. The pain is huge, the potential economic impact is co...
👉read more

Calling IT specialists: join the Stanford & UN competition at NeurIPS 2026

Image
On August 17, 2026, SimulacraBench — a NeurIPS 2026 competition was launched: AI must model population groups from UN microdata. The organizers are Stanford's Digital Economy Lab and the STAIR research group (Stanford CS), together with UNHCR, UNICEF and the World Bank. The development phase runs until October 30; the finals and prizes — November 1–14, 2026. I, Boris Yarovoy , author of TRON — a technology for the short-term forecasting of earthquake magnitude, location and time — am assembling a volunteer team to take part in this competition. A strong result at NeurIPS means a leaderboard position, international visibility and, above all, partners and resources for testing and validating the TRON prototype — and, subsequently, for scaling the technology. I am looking for IT specialists who understand (or want to understand) how AI works. Short-Term Earthquake Forecasting System TRON (Technology Real-time Online Nucleus) Write to me on LinkedIn with the subject line...
👉read more

Разговор в кабине

Что ты мне можешь дать, кроме денег? спросила меня Она. - Да нет нихуя кроме Трона - ответил подумав Я. - Тогда я уйду к другому. - сказала, подумав Она. - Да мне до пизды, вон гондоны, - тут же нашелся Я. - А если я ебнуся нахуй, и буду в говне все лежать? - Да мне до пизды... - сказал Я, заметив про тормоз опять. - А если я вдруг ебануся, и буду тебя полоскать. - Да мне до пизды, говорю же, ну что мне, опять повторять? - А если, я буду наркошей и тварью последней везде? - Да мне по хую, ты же знаешь, я сам же в таком же говне. - А вдруг я стану мигерой, такой же как...... - Ну хватит, вот тут тормозни мне - пойду ка я шины качать
👉read more

Акселератор Сбербанка SberUnity отклонил анкету стартапа TRON

Image
Уважаемый пользователь, к сожалению, мы не можем опубликовать вашу анкету на SberUnity по следующей причине: На платформе могут быть зарегистрированы проекты стадии MVP и выше. Мы с радостью опубликуем ваш проект после запуска. Если у вас есть MVP, пришлите пожалуйста подтверждение (фото, видео, ссылка на демо) на почту sberunity@sberbank.ru Если вы не согласны с данным комментарием модератора, напишите нам на sberunity@sberbank.ru Ваша команда SberUnity Dear friend, Unfortunately, we cannot accept your profile on SberUnity. Your application was rejected by moderator with the following comment: На платформе могут быть зарегистрированы проекты стадии MVP и выше. Мы с радостью опубликуем ваш проект после запуска. Если у вас есть MVP, пришлите пожалуйста подтверждение (фото, видео, ссылка на демо) на почту sberunity@sberbank.ru If you disagree with this reason, please contact us via email: sberunity@sberbank.ru Kind regards, SberUnity Team Синтаксис и форма этого ответа полностью сохране...
👉read more

Earthquakes in Japan coincide with the mystical predictions of a manga artist

Image
 Seismic activity that swept through Japan in late June 2025 may become not only a geological event, but an epistemological one as well. From June 22 to July 2, 2025, according to the JMA (Japan Meteorological Agency), the Tokara Islands experienced 890 tremors — 474 of them within just five days. The largest quake reached a magnitude of 5.1. Despite the absence of destruction, anxiety in the region reached its peak: a heightened alert level was declared on the islands. This seismic uptick has triggered a new wave of discussions — not only about science, but about the very nature of how we perceive the future. At the center of the controversy is a prophecy by Japanese artist Ryo Tatsuki, often dubbed the "Asian Vanga." She first came into the spotlight with the release of her manga The Future I Saw, which, according to readers, accurately predicted the 2011 Fukushima disaster. A republished 2021 edition includes another ominous vision — a catastrophic tsunami caused by an und...
👉read more

Онлайн технология точного прогноза землетрясений ТРОН

Image
Начнем с проблемы: ЗЕМЛЕТРЯСЕНИЯ.  С момента возникновения первых цивилизаций они наносят человечеству колоссальный урон. Прежде всего, это громадное количество человеческих жертв: от одного землетрясении Шаньси в 1556 году в Китае погибло 830.000 человек. А еще это огромный экономический ущерб - только от землетрясения Тохоку (Япония, 11 марта 2011 года) Япония потеряла порядка $250 млрд. и это без учета последствий аварии на атомной станции Фукусима . Среднегодовой экономический ущерб от землетрясения составляет порядка  7 миллиардов $ . Решение проблемы: КРАТКОСРОЧНЫЙ ПРОГНОЗ, Обладание технологией краткосрочного прогнозирования времени (с точностью до дня), эпицентра (с точность до 10 км)  и силы землетрясений (с точность до 2 баллов), позволяет уменьшить количество жертв на 89,3% и снизить экономический ущерб на 24,2% за счет минимизации риска инфраструктурных аварий на промышленных предприятиях энергетики, транспорта, связи. В рамках научных работ...
👉read more