«TRON в зоне RUбля»

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Global earthquake detection and warning using Android phones

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Editor’s summary Earthquake early warning systems depend on real-time analysis of waves detected at nearby seismic stations or by smartphone accelerometers. The latter approach, although less sensitive, is a promising way to offer alerts in areas without seismic stations. In a major step forward, Allen  et al . describe the outcomes of an alert system rolled out to Android phones in 98 countries, which increased total warning system access 10-fold to 2.5 billion people over 3 years. Issuing more than 1200 alerts over that period, the system recorded low-magnitude errors and provided preshake warnings consistent with other detection systems but on a much larger scale. —Angela Hessler Abstract Earthquake early-warning systems are increasingly being deployed as a strategy to reduce losses in earthquakes, but the regional seismic networks they require do not exist in many earthquake-prone countries. We use the global Android smartphone network to develop an earthquake detection capabil...
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Imagine a system that successfully predicts 80% of earthquakes, but without the subsequent earthquake.

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 - Did you imagine it? Because I couldn't - how is that even possible? If the prediction is successful, it means an earthquake happened. If there was no earthquake, then it's not a successful prediction. But here, everything is mixed into one. The AI ChatGPT Astra in its detailed audit of my initial post €200,000 Needed to Test a World-Class Scientific Hypothesis suggested this game of hallucinations to me. ChatGPT confuses two completely different statistical metrics: recall (the system's ability to detect 8 out of 10 disasters) and precision (how many times the system will raise a false alarm). A system can find almost all earthquakes, while simultaneously crying wolf for no reason every two weeks. In another situation, I might not have engaged with an AI of this level, but since people are barely interested in the topic of accurate earthquake prediction, I will continue to debate with what is available for now. The pain is huge, the potential economic impact is co...
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ChatGPT's audit of a proposal to sponsors for a world-class project with €200,000

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User  Investigate according to the superradar scheme: https://www.tron.ru/2026/09/invest-ai-project-global.html AI Superradar Verdict The idea in the article is a distributed network for observing animal behavior + AI, which is supposed to find pre-seismic anomalies hours or days before an earthquake. The pain is huge, the potential economic effect is colossal, and modern cameras, microphones, and computer vision models have indeed drastically reduced the cost of testing the hypothesis. But as an investment project in the formulation of the article, I would not invest €200k right now in exchange for a stake. The reason is not that the idea is inherently impossible. The reason is that the article makes a leap from "there are separate interesting observations" to "a solution exists," and this specific transition has not yet been scientifically proven. Moreover, some of the evidence in the article is presented incorrectly. (tron.ru) At the same time, a much str...
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中国の地震予知犬、毎夜の「誤報」に近隣住民がうんざり

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去年の3月11日なにしてた VICTIMS MAY BE LESS 【5月8日 AFP】 中国東部の江西（Jiangxi）省の省都、南昌（Nanchang）では地震予知に犬を使っている。しかし、この地震予知犬による連夜の「誤報」に近隣住民たちは不満を募らせている。  　中国は周期的に地震の恐怖にさらされている。先月同国南西部・四川（Sichuan）省で発生した地震では、およそ200人が死亡または行方不明になっており、また過去に起きた大災害による死者は数十万人にのぼる。  　江西省南昌の地震防災局に勤めるソン（Song）さんがAFPに語ったところによると、地震の発生が近づくと犬が異常な行動を取るという理由から、ソンさんの職場では省政府の指示を受けて犬を飼っている。犬は地震発生の10日ほど前に異常な行動をすることもあるという。ニワトリやアヒルなどでも同じ効果が得られるという。  　しかし、省の公式ニュースサイト大江網（Dajiang）は、毎晩くり返される犬の鳴き声への不満を近隣住民らがソーシャルメディアに書き込んでいると報じた。ある住民は「地震防災局で何匹の犬を飼っているのか知らないが、毎晩11時になるとほえ始めるんだ」と話した。 　ソンさんはAFPに対し、これらの犬が毎晩ほえていたという事実はないと述べるとともに、犬たちはすでに郊外の地震防災関連施設に移されたと話した。  　大江網は、近隣住民の不満を和らげるため、犬がほえないように口輪をかけるという手もあるかもしれないとソンさんが話したとも伝えた。そんなことをしたら地震が近づいていることを犬が知らせられなくなるのではと聞かれると、ソンさんはそれもそうだと納得し、上司と相談すると話したという。 (c)AFP >>> MORE >>>
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Calling IT specialists: join the Stanford & UN competition at NeurIPS 2026

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On August 17, 2026, SimulacraBench — a NeurIPS 2026 competition was launched: AI must model population groups from UN microdata. The organizers are Stanford's Digital Economy Lab and the STAIR research group (Stanford CS), together with UNHCR, UNICEF and the World Bank. The development phase runs until October 30; the finals and prizes — November 1–14, 2026. I, Boris Yarovoy , author of TRON — a technology for the short-term forecasting of earthquake magnitude, location and time — am assembling a volunteer team to take part in this competition. A strong result at NeurIPS means a leaderboard position, international visibility and, above all, partners and resources for testing and validating the TRON prototype — and, subsequently, for scaling the technology. I am looking for IT specialists who understand (or want to understand) how AI works. Short-Term Earthquake Forecasting System TRON (Technology Real-time Online Nucleus) Write to me on LinkedIn with the subject line...
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Japanese earthquake predicting - evolution «Technology Real-time Online Nucleus»

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Beginning in 1995, humanity can accurately predict the location, time and strength of earthquakes. Rechkabo        Kakuhoningen TRON technology designed to predict in real time date force and epicenter. For the mathematical and statistical analysis uses a single database (DB) on the behavior of domestic birds, fish and animals, fills Internet users. Information for processing database is provided directly to the site TRON, and users of social networks and Internet services (Facebook, Twitter, Google+, Yahoo, Skype, etc.) from earthquake-prone areas. Using special API (application programming interface) applications, they can provide information on themselves as social services, and using plug-ins to other sites. Forbes    Unlike most natural disasters, earthquakes strike without warning. Between large quakes and resulting tsunamis, millions of lives have been lost because science has been unable to provide accurate, useful earthquake forecasts. The US Geolo...
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TRON: Technology for Accurate Prediction of Earthquake Magnitude, Location, and Tim

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This technology was developed by me immediately after the Japanese earthquake on March 11, 2011 . The online technology for accurately predicting the magnitude, location, and time of earthquakes, «TRON» (Technology Real-time Online Nucleus), is based on the ability of domestic, farm, and wild animals to sense earthquakes in advance. By collecting information over the Internet about changes in the behavior of these animals, and then using the "greedy algorithms" of Keilis-Borok, it is possible to predict a future earthquake with an accuracy of up to 1 day, the epicenter with an accuracy of up to 10 km, and the strength of the shock with an accuracy of up to 1 magnitude. Initially, I assumed that its testing would take a year, after which I could work on the next problem . Unfortunately, this assumption did not take into account the fact that seismologists are absolutely not interested in implementing this ...
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TRON — Short-Term Earthquake Forecasting Technology

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TRON is a technology that detects earthquakes before they happen — hours, days, or even weeks before. How? By collecting and analyzing data on changes in the behavior of domestic and farm animals. Unlike traditional seismology, TRON does not rely on satellites or expensive sensors. It uses a distributed network of human observations to detect early signals of an impending earthquake. Why it matters TRON’s mission is to give people the only thing that matters in the event of a disaster: time to evacuate. We can’t stop earthquakes. But we can be prepared. Status We are currently seeking investment (€100,000) for a pilot deployment of the MVP in seismic zones. Find out more: How it works | Investment proposal
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4.6 quake rattles Christchurch, New Zealand

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Cantabrians were tonight shaken by the largest aftershock to hit the region since July.  The 4.6 tremor (initally reported by Geonet as 4.7) struck at 9.15pm. It was centred 15km west of Christchurch, at a depth of 10km. The shake was the strongest aftershock experienced in the region since a 4.8 quake on July 6, 2012.  The quake caused a flurry of online traffic that overloaded Geonet's website and many took to social media to comment. A Twitter user said: "Well that one got me out of my chair. I think I'm out of practice." Another user outside of Christchurch tweeted: "That was a goodie Chch felt that in Ashburton - very out of practice. Heart just calming down." There were no reports of damage or injury. © Fairfax NZ News  |  Saved Stories Next National story: Rush to re-float beached whale National Homepage Comments Login to post a comment:   Log in...
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Разговор в кабине

Что ты мне можешь дать, кроме денег? спросила меня Она. - Да нет нихуя кроме Трона - ответил подумав Я. - Тогда я уйду к другому. - сказала, подумав Она. - Да мне до пизды, вон гондоны, - тут же нашелся Я. - А если я ебнуся нахуй, и буду в говне все лежать? - Да мне до пизды... - сказал Я, заметив про тормоз опять. - А если я вдруг ебануся, и буду тебя полоскать. - Да мне до пизды, говорю же, ну что мне, опять повторять? - А если, я буду наркошей и тварью последней везде? - Да мне по хую, ты же знаешь, я сам же в таком же говне. - А вдруг я стану мигерой, такой же как...... - Ну хватит, вот тут тормозни мне - пойду ка я шины качать
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